Is Poker A Game Of Skill Or Luck?
December 17, 2009 by admin
Filed under Sports And Fitness
One of the ways to suggest an answer to the question of skill or luck is to watch the TV tournaments and notice how often some professional players seem to make the final table. Another clue to this question is taking stock of a local poker room and who seems to win more often than not. Some players are luckier than others, but it seems that skill over time wins out over luck. This is particularly true in cash games. Luck in tournaments does play a bigger part since one bad bet can end the tournament for a solid player. In tournaments you can often see a river card out of nowhere beat a very good starting hand of a professional and the amateur that lucked out continues in the game.
Many state legislatures have decided in favor of skill when letting poker rooms legally run in the state. The skill quality of the game overcame the prohibition against gambling. Watch the fate of any new player learning the game during the early stages of their learning curve and you can easily see that their skill level is suspect and they only seem to win with lucky draws or very powerful starting hands. They are lost when it comes to knowing when to bluff or play a marginal hand. Solid players who have a knack for doing the right move at the right time are the personification of poker skill. They rarely make a playing mistake and are only beat by an unexpected draw of luck or four running suited cards in the flop to give the Ace holding player a flush. You see many hands like this in online tournaments. Watching pairs of Aces get cracked online is an ugly display of how fickle the game can be at times.
Knowledge and experience are usually rewarded in a cash game and to a lesser degree in tournaments. The big reason for the difference is the player can rebuy in the cash game and when they lose their starting stack in a tournament they are knocked out of the tournament. Tournament play does seem to have a greater element of luck in its play. This is especially true when these Internet players are willing to go all in at the start of a hand. They play power poker and do not wait to see if they make their hand or not. In cases like this you may as well be playing showdown and not Holdem. Big pairs are likely to be over bet before the flop in tournaments and under bet in cash games. Patience also seems to be a bigger factor in cash games and less of an element in tournament play. Tournaments reward very aggressive play far more than cash games. As a group of players, cash game professionals are often more skillful players.
The betting level of the game also seems to bring more skill into play. The higher the betting level the more skill you will see in the play. Low-level games are hard to win with just skill, as there are too many players who will call even when the odds are very much out of favor toward them. No limit games will be filled with skillful players who know how to play. This is true in spades if the blinds are also very high. Players who are learning would be advised to stick with the lower level games until they have a better understanding of how the game should be played.
Making set up bets and bluffing are not the new player’s best play. Skilled players do it all of the time. They also seem to know exactly the amount they should wager to get their opponent to call. Getting the maximum amount of money for a winning hand is a learned skill and not a play that should be left to luck.
The other part of luck versus skill is luck cannot be counted on from day to day, but skill can be maintained from one session to the next. This alone may be the reason that familiar faces are seen at tournament after tournament. It is hard to beat a player who plays well and makes few mistakes. As the song goes, they know when to Holdem and when to Foldem. Mistake free play is hard to win against when a player is counting on lucky draws to bail them out of bad calls. Players sitting at a poker table make miracle draws every day. The difference from a skill standpoint is the odds are taken into account before the draw and the player knows that the play will depend on the odds. The player who depends on luck to win will be disappointed many times and does not even consider the odds of the play they are making. A blind eye to the odds of the play can be very costly over time and over many poker sessions.
Conclusions
Most solid players would come down on the side of skill in this debate. They saw it happen in their own play, as they got better at the game of poker. Early on they had games where they got very lucky, but over time they began to realize that they could not depend on luck to win. As they learned more about the inner workings of the game, they began to play with greater skill and their wins and losses were reversed to the win side of the ledger. Many of these same players have had two other significant advantages over the older players. They could read any of the really good books on poker that are now available. They could also play thousands of hands on the Internet at online poker rooms. The old time poker players had to spend a long time playing poker to log the same number of games and the experience that real time play gives to a player. This accounts to some degree for the young players doing so well in tournaments. Skill in the long run is the bread and butter to a winning poker player.
The Chi Debate Part 1
In the West many debates have surrounded the idea of Chi and if Chi really exists. Chi is a Chinese word that when simply translated into English means Energy and or Life-Force. The debate(s) typically starts around the so called manipulation of the chi life force energy. Often, these skills are seen demonstrated by advanced masters during cultural events, festivals or demonstrations etc.
Unfortunately, to the average person these skills then appear to be along the lines of a circus sideshow or magic tricks where trickery or illusion and sleight of hand are involved. Also, many of the techniques of Chi Energy activation and cultivation have been kept secret so little explanation for the seemingly impossible feats of skill are offered and this adds to the idea that some kind of illusion is behind the skills being presented and/or demonstrated. Much of the secrecy is due to specific groups (religious or trade guilds) or families having a history and tradition of skills and practice that is supposed to be kept within the group or family and not revealed to outsiders. This is a part of the heritage and cultural phenomenon of the Chinese people and only in very recent years have these practices begun to come into the modern world of scientific exploration, methodology and measurement.
Most modern Masters of the arts agree that all chi phenomena can be explained and fits well within the realm of modern physics. So, after many years of study and teaching it is my personal feeling that really it is the idea of mind over matter that is at the heart of the debate.
There are other factors that compound the problem of understanding the reality of Chi activation, cultivation and flow. The first problem to be addressed is a language barrier. There are words that describe specific aspects of Chi and Chi Kung (Energy Work) practice for which there is simply no direct translation into English and often Chinese teachers of Chi Kung aren’t proficiently fluent in English like a native speaker so although they may know some English there is still a communication barrier…
Continued in “The Chi Debate Part 2″
Know your Skills Before you Start Job Searching
Before you start up your email or fax machine to send resumes, have you done a self analysis of your career skills. Gaining a prospective employers confidence early in the job interview could go a long way.
While applying for a job, it’s idealistic that you discover your strengths and weaknesses and be ready to address these. By knowing your advantage, the chances of finding & getting the job that you wish will certainly get smoother. But you shouldn’t become too confident because this is among the more common mistakes that plague job applicants. Appearing too surefooted or as somewhat of a know it all individual will merely get you tagged by your interviewer as unfit for the job.
IDENTIFYING YOUR SKILLS
1st thing’s 1st. You had better identify your accomplishments and skill sets. This is your ticket to get that job and you ought to be able to articulate your abilities and expertness as best as possible. A lot folk’s experience a difficult time narrating their accomplishments and abilities as this could appear to be boasting. But you shouldn’t be timid or afraid to talk about your skills. As a matter of fact, it’s crucial that you express to your possible employer what your gifts and talents are. You ought to be able to sell your abilities to your employer. That’s how you’ll acquire the job that you wish. It’s crucial that you don’t come out arrogant or condescending but you should as well avoid selling yourself short. Whenever the interviewer inquires you about your very strong points or what assorts you from the remaining applicants, you ought to be able to promptly apply an effective answer, but before you even go to the interview part, your resume had better spotlight your acquirements and talents for your likely employer to view.
TYPE OF SKILLS
There’s 2 primary classes of skills, hard skills and soft skills. Hard skills are tangible in the good sense that these are matters
that you do like: knowing how to control diverse types of machinery, knowledge of a specialized computer program, ability to type quick, skills about applying many types of tools, credentials concerning particular crafts, etc. Soft skills are skills that are kind of abstract in nature as if personal qualities. This may include the following: being a good team player, holding the power to work on your own, being enthusiastic or organized and decisive.
THE STEPS TO FOLLOW
Constructing a list of your former jobs and experience acquired 1st matter to do is to make a list of all the businesses that you had been employed at for and the skill-sets that you acquired by these employers. There will be numerous things to name and you had better be heedful enough not to forget even the most minor things or activities that you were part of or organized. It is also a good idea to list the volunteer activities that you participated in.
INCLUDE A LIST OF YOUR HOBBIES
Though it could deem trivial at first, it’s likewise really helpful to list altogether your hobbies. There are a lot of abilities that your likely employer may acquire from your hobby list. These will as well as give an approximation of your personality. For instance,
whenever you were part of the school’s debating squad, then your employer may derive that you have good analytical skills. If you were a whiz chess player, then your employer will hold the impression that you are good at arriving at critical decisions. Think of your day by day routine and the matters that you do and frequently take for granted. Are you an organized individual who always maintains your things in decent order? Are you an extrovert that could easily form friendships in a matter of minutes? These may appear ordinary to normal matters to you, but your next boss may believe differently.
CHOOSE WHAT CAREER YOU DESIRE
After listing all your skills and all the things that you do good, you may now resolve what area or career you would like to take a
crack at. Choose the accomplishments contained from your list and partner it with the career type you are seeking. Always acquire time to think if your skills are applicable to the job that you are shooting for. Do not be annoyed if you have to cut down a few of the skills from your list. It’s also crucial to include in the list your skills that the prospective employer will probably value.
ADHERE WHAT YOU WRITE
You had better be realistic about your skills and the degree of expertness that you have with it. For instance, if you suggest that
you are a really organized person, then you should be able to demonstrate this to the interviewer by being able to organize your
thoughts and effectively use the time that was afforded for your job interview.
It’s significant to recognize your skills every time you are job hunting. Always put your best foot forward and good luck!
Better Communication Skills — Silence and Violence
August 8, 2009 by admin
Filed under Leadership
Introduction
Leaders need to seek better communication skills not only for themselves and their leadership teams, but as part of the organization’s culture. Successful change management requires getting everyone moving in one new direction.
People will be talking with one another while you’re trying to drive change. As a leader, you want to make sure those conversations are out in the open so that objections can be addressed and people will grow confident in your leadership.
Better Communication Skills at the Organization Level
What do we mean when we talk about the communication skills of an organization? At the individual level, we know how to describe communication skills. We talk about someone’s style, their subject matter knowledge, their ability to adapt their message to their target audience, their preparation, etc.
In an organization, better communication skills are something we seek to build in the culture. To be specific, we’re seeking to create a cultural norm of frequent, open dialogue. When that’s the norm, people feel safe in raising concerns and objections, knowing that they will be heard.
They also recognize that they are obligated to participate in dialogue, whether in meetings or less formally among their peers. It’s part of their job, making sure they are contributing not only their labor but their expertise, insight and ideas whenever possible.
Leaders need to look out for the two biggest barriers to better communication skills in an organization: silence and violence.
Recognizing Silence
Very simply, silence means people are not participating in the dialogue. Said another way, important conversations are not happening because people are choosing not to engage in them.
Why is silence a problem?
Hopefully you’ve hired smart people. It only makes sense, then, that you want and need the insights of those smart people when you’re leading a change program. Smart people always have thoughts and opinions. When they go silent, you lose the benefit of knowing those thoughts and opinions.
Besides not having the input, when people are silent you don’t know where they stand. Do they understand what you are trying to accomplish? Are they committed to working with you and your team, or do they have reservations? Without clear understanding and commitment, how will you bring these people along with you?
Addressing Silence
First and foremost, make sure you’ve created an environment where it’s safe to speak out. Many people who turn to silence do so because they feel they may be ignored or worse yet criticized for speaking up.
Examine your behavior — what do you do when you are challenged? Do you fight back right away? Or do you give considered answers and act respectful when you disagree with the challenger? Check the same behaviors in your leadership team, and within the organization in general. You’ve got to make it safe for people to engage. Your behavior will set the tone.
If you’re sure it’s safe and you see individuals are still reluctant to add their input to the dialogue of the organization, coach them individually. Let them know how much their input is valued and needed, and thank them when they open up.
Recognizing Violence
In this context, violence can be described as the tendency of one or a few individuals to dominate conversations. When there is violence, there is no chance for open dialogue. The dominators, if there are more than one, may argue their points without effectively listening to one another. And those who are not dominating the conversation will end up going silent, out of frustration or boredom.
So in the end, violence begets silence. How do you address violence?
As a leader, maintain your own objectivity. You’re a participant in the conversations taking place, but you must also be an observer. Learn to step out of the discussion from time to time and assess what’s happening. If you observe individuals dominating to the point where others are checking out, you need to intervene.
The degree of intervention depends on just how “violent” the dialogue is getting. It can be as simple as reminding someone to ease up a little and open themselves up to push back from others. Or it can go all the way to having to call a time out and taking people aside to help them see that their passion is overwhelming others and suppressing good dialogue.
The Result of Silence and Violence
One of two things is going to happen when you don’t have open dialogue in which everyone is actively engaged.
You’ll stall. Some strong people will argue and debate ad infinitum, while others check out. And your change strategy goes no where.
You’ll move forward. Not everyone will be participating, but strong people will drive and dominate the dialogue and the resulting actions.
Stalling will be very clear to you, and you’ll need to intervene to create safety, get people engaged, help break logjams, etc.
Moving forward might not seem so bad, but beware. Depending on just how many people have gone silent, there may be a time bomb in your implementation plan. When things go wrong, as they do in any change initiative, there will be a number of people who will have effectively positioned themselves to wash their hands of all responsibility.
As we noted earlier, just because they go silent doesn’t mean they don’t have input and opinions. When the plan goes forward and they’ve been shouted down, or chose not to engage because they felt it wasn’t safe, they will be in a position to say “that wasn’t my idea”.
Even though such behavior should be unacceptable, it happens way too often. Prevent it by setting expectations around organizational communication, specifically creating a shared value for open, honest dialogue without repercussion or disrespect.






